Financial development, foreign investment inflows and economic growth triangle : the case of India

Part of : MIBES Transactions : international journal ; Vol.5, No.1, 2011, pages 1-23

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1-23
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Abstract:
This paper aims to investigate the possible co-integration and the direction of causality between financial development, foreign investment inflows and economic growth in India. In a VAR framework, after employing unit root tests to see if the variables under consideration are stationary and LR test statistic to identify whether any restrictions are there in the co-integrating vector or on the adjustment coefficients, Granger causality have been conducted in a VECM framework. Apart from econometric analysis regression analysis is also conducted. The Cointegration test reveals that the variables under study are 1(1) processes implying a long run relationship exists between them. Both supply-leading and demand-following hypotheses are observed in case of Indian economy. Moreover FII(foreign investment inflows) -led growth hypothesis and GDP-driven FII hypothesis is also seen. The adjusted R- value of 0.897 measures the goodness of fit of the regression model.
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Keywords:
granger causality, financial development, cointegration, VECM. JEL:- F43 - economic growth of open economies
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