A comparative analysis of the development of tourism in Ionian Islands and the rest of Greece (1900-1999)

Part of : Αρχείον οικονομικής ιστορίας ; Vol.XIV, No.1, 2002, pages 39-54

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39-54
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Abstract:
Having taken monthly percentages of occupancy of all tourist accommodation (except from camping sites), for the Ionian Islands region and generally for all Greece from the Greek Tourism Organization (G. T. O.) from January 1990 until December 1999. and following the Box – Jenkins method, we tried to construct a statistical model whish has the best fit to our data. We analyzed the trend and the seasonality of our data and we made forecasts for the following years. Also we compared the development of the tourism of the Ionian Islands region with the one of Greece. The program that we used for this study is Minitab 12. For this study it is clear that the tourism will be increased in the Ionian Islands region for the next years during the low and the high tourist season. On the other hand the total tourist increase of Greece can be describe as stable.
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